The three new earthquake prediction method

Three used a new tool for earthquake prediction, published in Geophysical Journal International. Whether as a result of earthquake predictability has always been a controversial topic geophysicists, these tools can really help people save lives remains to be seen. 

 The first method from Japan Tono Earth Science Research Center of the Chi-Yu King made. King's research group noted that in March 16, 1997 occurred in Gifu Prefecture, the 5.8 magnitude earthquake, the earthquake occurred in a few days ago, they observed near the water level to drop the case. The same situation also occurred in the 1994 and 1995 several more before the earthquake. Scientists believe that these links with nearby wells Tsukiyoshi groundwater system fault. When the fault to slide, the sub-surface cracks Ambassador change the loss of underground water. 

 The second method by the French University of Nice-Sophia Antipolis of Didier Sornette and G. Ouillon made. They think that earthquakes are physicist known as an example of the critical behavior. In a fault is about to reach a critical point before the issue of some useful signal - than secondary earthquake. Sornette and Ouillon mine in South Africa to find such a signal, these signals as small-scale earthquakes, at the same time when the main fault simulate the sliding will occur when the situation. They rock in eight sharp changes in a few days before on the observation that the energy release. 

 The last method is UCLA's Yan Kagan and David Jackson of mathematical models, their model based on probability theory. Earthquakes usually occur in groups, a meeting of the incident might give rise to other events, not just aftershocks, sometimes triggered by earthquakes is greater. Kagan and Jackson are using a particular region of the long-term seismic records, which makes their model can not predict earthquakes in time, size and location; but measurable earthquake in an area the overall fortune. 

 Modern seismic equipment can immediately detect the occurrence of the earthquake, emergency shut down power plants and transportation systems to reduce disasters. But geophysicists ideal earthquake prediction is a few days ago will be able to forecast earthquakes. Many scientists think it may never reach. Tokyo University geophysicist Robert Geller said: "The accurate earthquake prediction in the present and the foreseeable future are impossible.